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Saturday 1 March 2014, 17:15 Stadio Verias Full time
45% 27% 28%
Home win
44.9%
Draw
27.3%
Away win
27.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Veria 44.9% 2.23
Draw 27.3% 3.66
Apollon Smirnis 27.8% 3.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.9% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.1% 12.30
Over 1.5 74.1% 1.35
Under 1.5 25.9% 3.86
Over 2.5 48.3% 2.07
Under 2.5 51.7% 1.93
Over 3.5 26.5% 3.77
Under 3.5 73.5% 1.36
Over 4.5 12.3% 8.11
Under 4.5 87.7% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.8% 1.89
No 47.2% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Veria / Draw 72.2% 1.39
Veria / Apollon Smirnis 72.7% 1.38
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 55.1% 1.81

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.1
7.5
4.6
1.7
0.5
0.1
1
10.2
13.0
6.9
2.6
0.7
0.2
2
8.2
9.1
5.1
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
4.0
4.5
2.5
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
1.5
1.7
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Veria goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.