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Sunday 2 February 2014, 17:15 Stadio Georgios Kamaras Full time
26% 31% 43%
Home win
26.1%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
42.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 26.1% 3.83
Draw 31.3% 3.19
Atromitos 42.6% 2.35

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.5% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.5% 7.43
Over 1.5 61.9% 1.61
Under 1.5 38.1% 2.63
Over 2.5 34.1% 2.93
Under 2.5 65.9% 1.52
Over 3.5 15.5% 6.46
Under 3.5 84.5% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.9% 17.02
Under 4.5 94.1% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.4% 2.42
No 58.6% 1.71

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 57.4% 1.74
Apollon Smirnis / Atromitos 68.7% 1.46
Draw / Atromitos 73.9% 1.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.5
14.3
9.0
3.6
1.1
0.3
1
10.3
14.0
7.9
3.1
0.9
0.2
2
4.8
5.8
3.4
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
1.4
1.7
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.