Monday 6 January 2014, 19:30
Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis
Full time
56%
25%
20%
Home win
55.5%
Draw
24.7%
Away win
19.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris Thessalonikis | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.7% | 4.04 | — | — |
| Apollon Smirnis | 19.7% | 5.07 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.80 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.0% | 7.13 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| No | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aris Thessalonikis / Draw | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Aris Thessalonikis / Apollon Smirnis | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Apollon Smirnis | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
5.7
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.9
|
11.8
|
5.3
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.2
|
9.8
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.0
|
5.8
|
2.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.6
|
2.5
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2022
Apollon Smirnis
0-0
Aris Thessalonikis
Oct 2021
Aris Thessalonikis
0-0
Apollon Smirnis
Jan 2021
Apollon Smirnis
0-1
Aris Thessalonikis
Oct 2020
Aris Thessalonikis
1-0
Apollon Smirnis
Mar 2019
Aris Thessalonikis
5-0
Apollon Smirnis
Nov 2018
Apollon Smirnis
1-2
Aris Thessalonikis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.