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Sunday 8 December 2013, 15:00 Stadio Toumbas Full time
82% 13% 5%
Home win
81.8%
Draw
13.1%
Away win
5.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 81.8% 1.22
Draw 13.1% 7.62
Apollon Smirnis 5.1% 19.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.7% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.3% 23.11
Over 1.5 83.6% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.4% 6.08
Over 2.5 62.5% 1.60
Under 2.5 37.5% 2.67
Over 3.5 40.3% 2.48
Under 3.5 59.7% 1.68
Over 4.5 22.4% 4.47
Under 4.5 77.6% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.9% 2.51
No 60.1% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 94.9% 1.05
PAOK / Apollon Smirnis 86.9% 1.15
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 18.2% 5.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.3
1.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
10.3
6.2
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
14.2
7.9
2.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
12.6
7.0
1.9
0.4
0.0
0.0
4
8.4
4.7
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
4.5
2.5
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.