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Sunday 27 October 2013, 17:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
61% 21% 18%
Home win
61.1%
Draw
21.1%
Away win
17.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 61.1% 1.64
Draw 21.1% 4.73
Apollon Smirnis 17.7% 5.64

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.6% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.4% 22.62
Over 1.5 84.1% 1.19
Under 1.5 15.9% 6.28
Over 2.5 63.1% 1.59
Under 2.5 36.9% 2.71
Over 3.5 40.9% 2.45
Under 3.5 59.1% 1.69
Over 4.5 22.9% 4.37
Under 4.5 77.1% 1.30

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.3% 1.69
No 40.7% 2.46

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 82.3% 1.22
Panionios / Apollon Smirnis 78.9% 1.27
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 38.9% 2.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.4
3.7
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.1
1
7.8
9.7
5.0
1.8
0.5
0.1
2
9.0
9.9
5.4
2.0
0.5
0.1
3
6.5
7.1
3.9
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
3.5
3.8
2.1
0.8
0.2
0.0
5
1.5
1.7
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.