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Sunday 20 October 2013, 18:15 Stadio Georgios Kamaras Full time
42% 28% 29%
Home win
42.3%
Draw
28.4%
Away win
29.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 42.3% 2.37
Draw 28.4% 3.52
Panetolikos 29.4% 3.41

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.8% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.2% 10.91
Over 1.5 71.5% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.5% 3.51
Over 2.5 45.0% 2.22
Under 2.5 55.0% 1.82
Over 3.5 23.7% 4.21
Under 3.5 76.3% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.6% 9.46
Under 4.5 89.4% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.7% 1.97
No 49.3% 2.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 70.6% 1.42
Apollon Smirnis / Panetolikos 71.6% 1.40
Draw / Panetolikos 57.7% 1.73

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.2
8.5
5.1
1.9
0.5
0.1
1
10.8
13.5
7.0
2.6
0.7
0.2
2
7.9
8.7
4.8
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
3.6
4.0
2.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
1.2
1.4
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.