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Sunday 15 September 2013, 18:15 Stadio Georgios Kamaras Full time
25% 34% 41%
Home win
24.5%
Draw
34.3%
Away win
41.2%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 24.5% 4.07
Draw 34.3% 2.92
AEL Kallonis 41.2% 2.43

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.1% 1.22
Under 0.5 17.9% 5.58
Over 1.5 53.4% 1.87
Under 1.5 46.6% 2.15
Over 2.5 26.0% 3.85
Under 2.5 74.0% 1.35
Over 3.5 10.3% 9.72
Under 3.5 89.7% 1.11
Over 4.5 3.4% 29.59
Under 4.5 96.6% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.1% 2.93
No 65.9% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 58.8% 1.70
Apollon Smirnis / AEL Kallonis 65.7% 1.52
Draw / AEL Kallonis 75.5% 1.33

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.9
16.9
9.2
3.2
0.8
0.2
1
11.7
13.7
6.7
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
4.6
4.7
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
1.1
1.1
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: AEL Kallonis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.