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Sunday 25 August 2013, 19:15 Stadio Harilaou Kleánthis Vikelídis Full time
45% 32% 23%
Home win
45.0%
Draw
32.2%
Away win
22.9%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis 45.0% 2.22
Draw 32.2% 3.11
AEL Kallonis 22.9% 4.38

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.6% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.4% 6.49
Over 1.5 58.0% 1.72
Under 1.5 42.0% 2.38
Over 2.5 30.2% 3.31
Under 2.5 69.8% 1.43
Over 3.5 12.9% 7.75
Under 3.5 87.1% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.6% 21.82
Under 4.5 95.4% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.2% 2.69
No 62.8% 1.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Aris Thessalonikis / Draw 77.1% 1.30
Aris Thessalonikis / AEL Kallonis 67.8% 1.47
Draw / AEL Kallonis 55.0% 1.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.4
10.2
4.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
16.4
13.6
4.8
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
10.0
7.5
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
3.9
2.9
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.1
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Columns: AEL Kallonis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.