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Sunday 21 April 2013, 19:00 SKODA Xanthi Arena Full time
49% 29% 22%
Home win
49.1%
Draw
29.2%
Away win
21.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC 49.1% 2.04
Draw 29.2% 3.43
Aris Thessalonikis 21.7% 4.61

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.2% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.8% 8.45
Over 1.5 65.3% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.7% 2.88
Over 2.5 37.7% 2.65
Under 2.5 62.3% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.1% 5.54
Under 3.5 81.9% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.2% 13.80
Under 4.5 92.8% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.7% 2.34
No 57.3% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC / Draw 78.3% 1.28
Xanthi FC / Aris Thessalonikis 70.8% 1.41
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 50.9% 1.97

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.8
8.4
3.8
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
14.5
13.3
5.2
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
10.5
8.6
3.6
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
4.8
4.0
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.7
1.4
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Xanthi FC goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.