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Sunday 7 April 2013, 17:15 Gipedo Astera Tripolis Full time
53% 30% 17%
Home win
52.7%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
17.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 52.7% 1.90
Draw 29.9% 3.34
Xanthi FC 17.4% 5.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.6% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.4% 6.92
Over 1.5 59.7% 1.67
Under 1.5 40.3% 2.48
Over 2.5 31.9% 3.13
Under 2.5 68.1% 1.47
Over 3.5 14.0% 7.13
Under 3.5 86.0% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.1% 19.47
Under 4.5 94.9% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.9% 2.79
No 64.1% 1.56

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 82.6% 1.21
Asteras Tripolis / Xanthi FC 70.1% 1.43
Draw / Xanthi FC 47.3% 2.11

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.4
8.2
2.9
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
17.6
12.6
3.9
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
12.3
8.0
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
5.5
3.5
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
1.8
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.