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Monday 1 April 2013, 19:30 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
28% 30% 42%
Home win
27.6%
Draw
30.1%
Away win
42.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 27.6% 3.62
Draw 30.1% 3.33
Asteras Tripolis 42.3% 2.36

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.5% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.5% 8.67
Over 1.5 66.1% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.9% 2.95
Over 2.5 38.6% 2.59
Under 2.5 61.4% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.7% 5.35
Under 3.5 81.3% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.6% 13.17
Under 4.5 92.4% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.3% 2.21
No 54.7% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 57.7% 1.73
Panionios / Asteras Tripolis 69.9% 1.43
Draw / Asteras Tripolis 72.4% 1.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.5
12.8
8.6
3.6
1.1
0.3
1
9.6
13.9
8.3
3.5
1.1
0.3
2
5.0
6.4
4.0
1.7
0.5
0.1
3
1.6
2.1
1.3
0.5
0.2
0.0
4
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.