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Sunday 3 March 2013, 17:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
4–2
HT 1–1
67% 22% 11%
Home win
66.5%
Draw
22.1%
Away win
11.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 66.5% 1.50
Draw 22.1% 4.52
Panionios 11.4% 8.80

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.5% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.5% 11.80
Over 1.5 72.6% 1.38
Under 1.5 27.4% 3.65
Over 2.5 46.6% 2.15
Under 2.5 53.4% 1.87
Over 3.5 25.1% 3.99
Under 3.5 74.9% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.4% 8.77
Under 4.5 88.6% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.0% 2.44
No 59.0% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 88.6% 1.13
PAOK / Panionios 77.9% 1.28
Draw / Panionios 33.5% 2.99

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.5
4.5
1.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
14.4
10.2
3.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
14.1
9.1
3.0
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
8.9
5.8
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
4.2
2.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.6
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.