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Sunday 27 January 2013, 17:15 Stadio Toumbas Full time
0–1
HT 0–1
62% 26% 12%
Home win
62.2%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
12.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 62.2% 1.61
Draw 25.7% 3.89
Xanthi FC 12.2% 8.23

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.9% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.1% 8.25
Over 1.5 64.2% 1.56
Under 1.5 35.8% 2.80
Over 2.5 36.7% 2.72
Under 2.5 63.3% 1.58
Over 3.5 17.3% 5.77
Under 3.5 82.7% 1.21
Over 4.5 6.8% 14.60
Under 4.5 93.2% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.0% 2.86
No 65.0% 1.54

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 87.8% 1.14
PAOK / Xanthi FC 74.3% 1.35
Draw / Xanthi FC 37.8% 2.64

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.1
5.9
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
17.8
11.0
2.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
14.7
8.3
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
7.9
4.4
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
3.1
1.8
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.