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Monday 17 December 2012, 19:30 Stadio Zosimades Full time
1–3
HT 0–2
32% 33% 35%
Home win
31.7%
Draw
33.2%
Away win
35.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina 31.7% 3.16
Draw 33.2% 3.01
PAOK 35.1% 2.85

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 84.5% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.5% 6.47
Over 1.5 58.0% 1.72
Under 1.5 42.0% 2.38
Over 2.5 30.2% 3.31
Under 2.5 69.8% 1.43
Over 3.5 12.9% 7.76
Under 3.5 87.1% 1.15
Over 4.5 4.6% 21.85
Under 4.5 95.4% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.9% 2.57
No 61.1% 1.64

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAS Giannina / Draw 64.9% 1.54
PAS Giannina / PAOK 66.8% 1.50
Draw / PAOK 68.3% 1.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.5
13.7
7.2
2.4
0.6
0.1
1
12.8
14.3
6.7
2.2
0.5
0.1
2
6.3
6.3
3.1
1.0
0.3
0.1
3
2.0
1.9
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAS Giannina goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.