Skip to content
Saturday 8 December 2012, 17:15 Stadio Kerkyras Full time
36% 32% 31%
Home win
36.3%
Draw
32.4%
Away win
31.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra 36.3% 2.75
Draw 32.4% 3.08
PAS Giannina 31.3% 3.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.6% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.4% 6.96
Over 1.5 60.2% 1.66
Under 1.5 39.8% 2.51
Over 2.5 32.3% 3.10
Under 2.5 67.7% 1.48
Over 3.5 14.3% 7.02
Under 3.5 85.7% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.2% 19.06
Under 4.5 94.8% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.6% 2.46
No 59.4% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra / Draw 68.7% 1.45
AOK Kerkyra / PAS Giannina 67.6% 1.48
Draw / PAS Giannina 63.7% 1.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.4
12.1
6.1
1.9
0.5
0.1
1
13.4
14.3
6.4
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
7.4
7.1
3.4
1.1
0.3
0.0
3
2.6
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AOK Kerkyra goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.