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Sunday 25 November 2012, 15:00 Stadio Kerkyras Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
56% 28% 16%
Home win
56.0%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
16.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra 56.0% 1.79
Draw 28.1% 3.56
Veria 16.0% 6.26

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.2% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.8% 7.81
Over 1.5 63.0% 1.59
Under 1.5 37.0% 2.70
Over 2.5 35.3% 2.83
Under 2.5 64.7% 1.55
Over 3.5 16.3% 6.12
Under 3.5 83.7% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.3% 15.81
Under 4.5 93.7% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.5% 2.67
No 62.5% 1.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra / Draw 84.0% 1.19
AOK Kerkyra / Veria 71.9% 1.39
Draw / Veria 44.1% 2.27

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.8
7.2
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
17.0
12.2
3.8
0.8
0.1
0.0
2
12.9
8.4
2.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
6.3
4.1
1.3
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
2.3
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.7
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AOK Kerkyra goals. Columns: Veria goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.