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Saturday 17 November 2012, 19:30 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
88% 9% 3%
Home win
87.6%
Draw
9.4%
Away win
3.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 87.6% 1.14
Draw 9.4% 10.65
AOK Kerkyra 3.0% 33.31

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.9% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.1% 32.15
Over 1.5 87.2% 1.15
Under 1.5 12.8% 7.83
Over 2.5 68.9% 1.45
Under 2.5 31.1% 3.22
Over 3.5 47.5% 2.10
Under 3.5 52.5% 1.91
Over 4.5 28.5% 3.51
Under 4.5 71.5% 1.40

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.5% 2.74
No 63.5% 1.57

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 97.0% 1.03
Olympiakos Piraeus / AOK Kerkyra 90.6% 1.10
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 12.4% 8.07

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.1
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
8.5
4.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
13.5
6.5
1.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
13.9
6.6
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
10.7
5.1
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
6.6
3.1
0.8
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.