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Saturday 20 October 2012, 17:15 Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki Full time
85% 11% 4%
Home win
84.9%
Draw
11.3%
Away win
3.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus 84.9% 1.18
Draw 11.3% 8.88
Xanthi FC 3.8% 26.08

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.1% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.9% 25.80
Over 1.5 84.8% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.2% 6.59
Over 2.5 64.7% 1.55
Under 2.5 35.3% 2.83
Over 3.5 42.6% 2.34
Under 3.5 57.4% 1.74
Over 4.5 24.3% 4.12
Under 4.5 75.7% 1.32

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.0% 2.70
No 63.0% 1.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Olympiakos Piraeus / Draw 96.2% 1.04
Olympiakos Piraeus / Xanthi FC 88.7% 1.13
Draw / Xanthi FC 15.1% 6.63

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.9
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
9.8
5.3
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
14.4
7.1
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
13.6
6.7
1.7
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
9.6
4.8
1.2
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
5.5
2.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Columns: Xanthi FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.