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Saturday 1 September 2012, 20:30 SKODA Xanthi Arena Full time
34% 33% 33%
Home win
33.7%
Draw
32.9%
Away win
33.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC 33.7% 2.97
Draw 32.9% 3.04
AEK Athens FC 33.4% 2.99

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.0% 1.18
Under 0.5 15.0% 6.67
Over 1.5 58.9% 1.70
Under 1.5 41.1% 2.44
Over 2.5 31.1% 3.22
Under 2.5 68.9% 1.45
Over 3.5 13.5% 7.43
Under 3.5 86.5% 1.16
Over 4.5 4.9% 20.59
Under 4.5 95.1% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.7% 2.52
No 60.3% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Xanthi FC / Draw 66.6% 1.50
Xanthi FC / AEK Athens FC 67.1% 1.49
Draw / AEK Athens FC 66.3% 1.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
15.0
13.0
6.7
2.2
0.5
0.1
1
13.1
14.3
6.6
2.1
0.5
0.1
2
6.8
6.6
3.2
1.0
0.3
0.1
3
2.2
2.2
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Xanthi FC goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.