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Sunday 20 May 2012, 20:00 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
58% 26% 16%
Home win
57.7%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
16.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 57.7% 1.73
Draw 26.1% 3.83
AEK Athens FC 16.1% 6.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.7% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.3% 9.68
Over 1.5 68.5% 1.46
Under 1.5 31.5% 3.17
Over 2.5 41.4% 2.42
Under 2.5 58.6% 1.71
Over 3.5 20.8% 4.80
Under 3.5 79.2% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.8% 11.34
Under 4.5 91.2% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.1% 2.37
No 57.9% 1.73

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 83.9% 1.19
Panathinaikos / AEK Athens FC 73.9% 1.35
Draw / AEK Athens FC 42.3% 2.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.3
6.4
2.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
14.8
12.0
4.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
12.5
9.1
3.3
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
6.7
4.9
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
2.7
2.0
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.9
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.