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Sunday 13 May 2012, 19:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
2–0
HT 0–0
51% 27% 22%
Home win
51.0%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
21.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 51.0% 1.96
Draw 27.1% 3.69
PAOK 21.9% 4.56

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.8% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.2% 10.86
Over 1.5 71.3% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.7% 3.49
Over 2.5 44.8% 2.23
Under 2.5 55.2% 1.81
Over 3.5 23.5% 4.25
Under 3.5 76.5% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.4% 9.57
Under 4.5 89.6% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.2% 2.08
No 51.8% 1.93

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 78.1% 1.28
Panathinaikos / PAOK 72.9% 1.37
Draw / PAOK 49.0% 2.04

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.2
7.1
3.6
1.1
0.3
0.0
1
12.4
12.8
5.6
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.1
9.3
4.3
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
5.2
4.8
2.2
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
2.0
1.8
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.