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Sunday 22 April 2012, 19:00 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
71% 21% 8%
Home win
71.1%
Draw
21.1%
Away win
7.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 71.1% 1.41
Draw 21.1% 4.74
Panetolikos 7.8% 12.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.8% 1.11
Under 0.5 10.2% 9.82
Over 1.5 68.2% 1.47
Under 1.5 31.8% 3.15
Over 2.5 41.3% 2.42
Under 2.5 58.7% 1.70
Over 3.5 20.8% 4.81
Under 3.5 79.2% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.8% 11.38
Under 4.5 91.2% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 31.9% 3.13
No 68.1% 1.47

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 92.2% 1.09
Panathinaikos / Panetolikos 78.9% 1.27
Draw / Panetolikos 28.9% 3.45

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.2
4.0
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
17.6
8.9
2.0
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
16.9
7.9
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
10.6
4.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
4.9
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.