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Sunday 8 April 2012, 19:00 Stadio Thódoros Vardinoyánnis Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
50% 34% 16%
Home win
50.1%
Draw
33.7%
Away win
16.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI 50.1% 2.00
Draw 33.7% 2.96
Panetolikos 16.1% 6.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 79.9% 1.25
Under 0.5 20.1% 4.97
Over 1.5 49.4% 2.03
Under 1.5 50.6% 1.98
Over 2.5 22.6% 4.42
Under 2.5 77.4% 1.29
Over 3.5 8.4% 11.90
Under 3.5 91.6% 1.09
Over 4.5 2.6% 38.74
Under 4.5 97.4% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 27.8% 3.60
No 72.2% 1.38

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
OFI / Draw 83.9% 1.19
OFI / Panetolikos 66.3% 1.51
Draw / Panetolikos 49.9% 2.00

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
20.1
9.3
2.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
21.2
11.9
2.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
12.3
6.3
1.6
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
4.6
2.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
1.3
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.