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Sunday 18 March 2012, 17:15 Stadio Panetolikou Full time
1–1
HT 1–0
19% 30% 50%
Home win
19.2%
Draw
30.4%
Away win
50.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos 19.2% 5.20
Draw 30.4% 3.29
PAOK 50.4% 1.99

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.7% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.3% 7.01
Over 1.5 60.1% 1.66
Under 1.5 39.9% 2.51
Over 2.5 32.3% 3.09
Under 2.5 67.7% 1.48
Over 3.5 14.3% 7.00
Under 3.5 85.7% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.3% 18.98
Under 4.5 94.7% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.3% 2.68
No 62.7% 1.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panetolikos / Draw 49.6% 2.01
Panetolikos / PAOK 69.6% 1.44
Draw / PAOK 80.8% 1.24

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.3
16.9
11.5
5.0
1.6
0.4
1
8.7
13.0
8.0
3.5
1.1
0.3
2
3.3
4.3
2.8
1.2
0.4
0.1
3
0.8
1.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panetolikos goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.