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Sunday 19 February 2012, 19:30 Stadio Toumbas Full time
54% 29% 17%
Home win
54.3%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
17.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK 54.3% 1.84
Draw 28.6% 3.50
Aris Thessalonikis 17.1% 5.86

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.1% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.9% 7.74
Over 1.5 62.8% 1.59
Under 1.5 37.2% 2.69
Over 2.5 35.1% 2.85
Under 2.5 64.9% 1.54
Over 3.5 16.2% 6.18
Under 3.5 83.8% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.2% 16.04
Under 4.5 93.8% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.1% 2.63
No 61.9% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
PAOK / Draw 82.9% 1.21
PAOK / Aris Thessalonikis 71.4% 1.40
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 45.7% 2.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.9
7.6
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
16.7
12.5
4.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
2
12.4
8.4
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
5.9
4.0
1.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
2.1
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: PAOK goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.