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Sunday 29 January 2012, 19:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
0–2
HT 0–1
45% 29% 27%
Home win
44.6%
Draw
28.5%
Away win
26.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 44.6% 2.24
Draw 28.5% 3.50
PAOK 26.9% 3.72

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.3% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.8% 10.26
Over 1.5 70.1% 1.43
Under 1.5 29.9% 3.35
Over 2.5 43.3% 2.31
Under 2.5 56.7% 1.76
Over 3.5 22.3% 4.48
Under 3.5 77.7% 1.29
Over 4.5 9.7% 10.30
Under 4.5 90.3% 1.11

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.8% 2.05
No 51.2% 1.95

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 73.1% 1.37
AEK Athens FC / PAOK 71.5% 1.40
Draw / PAOK 55.4% 1.81

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.8
8.4
4.7
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
11.7
13.5
6.5
2.2
0.6
0.1
2
8.7
8.8
4.5
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
4.0
4.1
2.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
1.4
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: PAOK goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.