Skip to content
Sunday 18 December 2011, 17:15 Stadio Peristeriou Full time
35% 28% 37%
Home win
34.6%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
37.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos 34.6% 2.89
Draw 28.2% 3.55
AEK Athens FC 37.2% 2.69

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.4% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.6% 11.67
Over 1.5 73.0% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.0% 3.71
Over 2.5 46.9% 2.13
Under 2.5 53.1% 1.88
Over 3.5 25.3% 3.95
Under 3.5 74.7% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.6% 8.65
Under 4.5 88.4% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.7% 1.90
No 47.3% 2.11

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atromitos / Draw 62.8% 1.59
Atromitos / AEK Athens FC 71.8% 1.39
Draw / AEK Athens FC 65.4% 1.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.6
9.4
6.6
2.9
0.9
0.2
1
9.0
13.4
8.3
3.6
1.2
0.3
2
6.1
7.9
5.2
2.2
0.7
0.2
3
2.5
3.3
2.1
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
0.8
1.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.