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Sunday 4 December 2011, 15:00 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
78% 15% 7%
Home win
77.8%
Draw
15.1%
Away win
7.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 77.8% 1.29
Draw 15.1% 6.63
AOK Kerkyra 7.1% 14.01

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.6% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.4% 22.94
Over 1.5 83.7% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.3% 6.13
Over 2.5 62.6% 1.60
Under 2.5 37.4% 2.68
Over 3.5 40.4% 2.47
Under 3.5 59.6% 1.68
Over 4.5 22.5% 4.45
Under 4.5 77.5% 1.29

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.5% 2.20
No 54.5% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 92.9% 1.08
AEK Athens FC / AOK Kerkyra 84.9% 1.18
Draw / AOK Kerkyra 22.2% 4.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.4
2.2
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
9.7
7.2
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
13.0
8.7
2.9
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
11.1
7.4
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
7.1
4.7
1.6
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
3.6
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: AOK Kerkyra goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.