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Sunday 30 October 2011, 17:15 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
AEK Athens FC
3–0
HT 2–0
Aris Thessalonikis
45% 33% 22%
Home win
44.5%
Draw
33.2%
Away win
22.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 44.5% 2.25 — —
Draw 33.2% 3.01 — —
Aris Thessalonikis 22.3% 4.49 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 83.0% 1.20 — —
Under 0.5 17.0% 5.88 — —
Over 1.5 55.0% 1.82 — —
Under 1.5 45.0% 2.22 — —
Over 2.5 27.4% 3.65 — —
Under 2.5 72.6% 1.38 — —
Over 3.5 11.2% 8.97 — —
Under 3.5 88.8% 1.13 — —
Over 4.5 3.8% 26.53 — —
Under 4.5 96.2% 1.04 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.7% 2.88 — —
No 65.3% 1.53 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 77.7% 1.29 — —
AEK Athens FC / Aris Thessalonikis 66.8% 1.50 — —
Draw / Aris Thessalonikis 55.5% 1.80 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.0
10.7
4.0
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
17.3
13.5
4.5
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
10.1
7.1
2.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
3
3.8
2.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
1.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Aris Thessalonikis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

AEK Athens FC
W L W D L
Aris Thessalonikis
D L D D D

Head to head

Jan 2026 Aris Thessalonikis 1-1 AEK Athens FC Nov 2025 AEK Athens FC 1-0 Aris Thessalonikis Mar 2025 Aris Thessalonikis 0-0 AEK Athens FC Nov 2024 AEK Athens FC 4-0 Aris Thessalonikis Apr 2024 Aris Thessalonikis 1-2 AEK Athens FC Apr 2024 AEK Athens FC 2-0 Aris Thessalonikis

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.