Skip to content
Saturday 15 October 2011, 20:30 Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis Full time
41% 24% 35%
Home win
40.5%
Draw
24.2%
Away win
35.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC 40.5% 2.47
Draw 24.2% 4.14
Olympiakos Piraeus 35.3% 2.83

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.7% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.3% 23.46
Over 1.5 84.8% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.2% 6.59
Over 2.5 64.2% 1.56
Under 2.5 35.8% 2.79
Over 3.5 42.1% 2.37
Under 3.5 57.9% 1.73
Over 4.5 23.9% 4.19
Under 4.5 76.1% 1.31

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 65.9% 1.52
No 34.1% 2.93

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AEK Athens FC / Draw 64.7% 1.55
AEK Athens FC / Olympiakos Piraeus 75.8% 1.32
Draw / Olympiakos Piraeus 59.5% 1.68

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.3
5.2
4.6
2.5
1.0
0.3
1
5.7
10.6
8.0
4.2
1.7
0.5
2
5.4
8.6
6.8
3.6
1.4
0.5
3
3.1
4.9
3.9
2.1
0.8
0.3
4
1.3
2.1
1.7
0.9
0.4
0.1
5
0.5
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.