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Sunday 2 October 2011, 18:15 Stadio Néas Smírnis Full time
Panionios
0–1
HT 0–0
AEK Athens FC
40% 25% 35%
Home win
40.3%
Draw
25.2%
Away win
34.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 40.3% 2.48 — —
Draw 25.2% 3.96 — —
AEK Athens FC 34.5% 2.90 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.7% 1.06 — —
Under 0.5 5.3% 18.92 — —
Over 1.5 81.8% 1.22 — —
Under 1.5 18.2% 5.49 — —
Over 2.5 59.3% 1.69 — —
Under 2.5 40.7% 2.46 — —
Over 3.5 36.9% 2.71 — —
Under 3.5 63.1% 1.58 — —
Over 4.5 19.7% 5.07 — —
Under 4.5 80.3% 1.25 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 62.2% 1.61 — —
No 37.8% 2.64 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 65.5% 1.53 — —
Panionios / AEK Athens FC 74.8% 1.34 — —
Draw / AEK Athens FC 59.7% 1.67 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.3
6.2
5.0
2.5
0.9
0.3
1
6.8
11.6
8.0
3.9
1.4
0.4
2
5.9
8.7
6.4
3.1
1.2
0.3
3
3.2
4.7
3.4
1.7
0.6
0.2
4
1.3
1.9
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.1
5
0.4
0.6
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Panionios
D W L W
AEK Athens FC
W W L

Head to head

Mar 2020 Panionios 1-1 AEK Athens FC Dec 2019 AEK Athens FC 5-0 Panionios Jan 2019 Panionios 0-2 AEK Athens FC Sep 2018 AEK Athens FC 4-0 Panionios Mar 2018 AEK Athens FC 1-0 Panionios Oct 2017 Panionios 0-1 AEK Athens FC

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.