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Saturday 24 September 2011, 17:15 Stadio Kerkyras Full time
13% 9% 77%
Home win
13.4%
Draw
9.2%
Away win
77.5%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra 13.4% 7.48
Draw 9.2% 10.90
Panionios 77.5% 1.29

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 100.0% 1.00
Under 0.5 0.0% 3,571.43
Over 1.5 99.9% 1.00
Under 1.5 0.1% 847.46
Over 2.5 99.3% 1.01
Under 2.5 0.7% 150.38
Over 3.5 97.7% 1.02
Under 3.5 2.3% 44.29
Over 4.5 94.2% 1.06
Under 4.5 5.8% 17.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 95.1% 1.05
No 4.9% 20.40

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
AOK Kerkyra / Draw 22.5% 4.44
AOK Kerkyra / Panionios 90.8% 1.10
Draw / Panionios 86.6% 1.15

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.5
0.7
0.8
1
0.0
0.3
0.7
1.4
2.1
2.4
2
0.1
0.4
1.1
2.1
3.1
3.7
3
0.1
0.4
1.1
2.2
3.2
3.8
4
0.0
0.3
0.9
1.7
2.5
2.9
5
0.0
0.2
0.5
1.0
1.5
1.8
Rows: AOK Kerkyra goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.