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Saturday 26 January 2019, 19:30 Nea Smyrni Stadium Full time
21% 33% 47%
Home win
20.5%
Draw
32.6%
Away win
46.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios 20.5% 4.87
Draw 32.6% 3.06
AEK Athens FC 46.9% 2.13

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 83.2% 1.20
Under 0.5 16.8% 5.96
Over 1.5 55.4% 1.81
Under 1.5 44.6% 2.24
Over 2.5 27.8% 3.60
Under 2.5 72.2% 1.38
Over 3.5 11.4% 8.79
Under 3.5 88.6% 1.13
Over 4.5 3.9% 25.83
Under 4.5 96.1% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.3% 2.92
No 65.7% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panionios / Draw 53.1% 1.88
Panionios / AEK Athens FC 67.4% 1.48
Draw / AEK Athens FC 79.5% 1.26

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
16.8
17.9
10.8
4.2
1.2
0.3
1
10.0
13.2
7.2
2.8
0.8
0.2
2
3.6
4.2
2.4
0.9
0.3
0.1
3
0.8
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
4
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.