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Sunday 16 December 2018, 17:15 AEL FC Arena Full time
13% 28% 58%
Home win
13.3%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
58.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa 13.3% 7.50
Draw 28.2% 3.54
AEK Athens FC 58.4% 1.71

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.5% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.5% 6.90
Over 1.5 59.4% 1.68
Under 1.5 40.6% 2.46
Over 2.5 31.7% 3.15
Under 2.5 68.3% 1.46
Over 3.5 13.9% 7.21
Under 3.5 86.1% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.1% 19.76
Under 4.5 94.9% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.6% 3.07
No 67.4% 1.48

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa / Draw 41.6% 2.41
Larisa / AEK Athens FC 71.8% 1.39
Draw / AEK Athens FC 86.7% 1.15

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.5
19.2
14.2
6.8
2.4
0.7
1
6.9
11.4
7.7
3.7
1.3
0.4
2
2.0
2.9
2.1
1.0
0.4
0.1
3
0.4
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Larisa goals. Columns: AEK Athens FC goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.