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Saturday 1 December 2018, 17:15 AEL FC Arena Full time
4–2
HT 1–1
26% 35% 39%
Home win
26.0%
Draw
34.6%
Away win
39.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa 26.0% 3.85
Draw 34.6% 2.89
Panionios 39.5% 2.53

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.0% 1.22
Under 0.5 18.0% 5.55
Over 1.5 53.2% 1.88
Under 1.5 46.8% 2.14
Over 2.5 25.8% 3.87
Under 2.5 74.2% 1.35
Over 3.5 10.2% 9.80
Under 3.5 89.8% 1.11
Over 4.5 3.3% 29.89
Under 4.5 96.7% 1.03

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 34.4% 2.91
No 65.6% 1.52

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa / Draw 60.5% 1.65
Larisa / Panionios 65.4% 1.53
Draw / Panionios 74.0% 1.35

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
18.0
16.5
8.6
2.9
0.7
0.1
1
12.3
13.8
6.5
2.2
0.5
0.1
2
4.9
4.9
2.5
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
1.2
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Larisa goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.