Saturday 20 October 2018, 20:30
AEL FC Arena
Full time
41%
35%
24%
Home win
41.4%
Draw
35.1%
Away win
23.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larisa | 41.4% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Draw | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| Lamia | 23.5% | 4.25 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 19.3% | 5.18 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 49.0% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 23.9% | 4.18 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 9.1% | 10.98 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 2.9% | 34.81 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 97.1% | 1.03 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 32.1% | 3.12 | — | — |
| No | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larisa / Draw | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Larisa / Lamia | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Draw / Lamia | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
19.3
|
11.9
|
4.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.8
|
13.5
|
4.3
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
6.4
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.1
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Lamia
0-0
Larisa
Mar 2021
Lamia
2-1
Larisa
Feb 2021
Larisa
0-1
Lamia
Jul 2020
Lamia
0-0
Larisa
Feb 2020
Lamia
0-0
Larisa
Nov 2019
Larisa
0-3
Lamia
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.