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Saturday 29 September 2018, 18:15 AEL FC Arena Full time
1–0
HT 1–0
39% 31% 29%
Home win
39.4%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
29.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa 39.4% 2.54
Draw 31.3% 3.20
Panetolikos 29.3% 3.41

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.1% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.9% 7.74
Over 1.5 63.1% 1.58
Under 1.5 36.9% 2.71
Over 2.5 35.3% 2.83
Under 2.5 64.7% 1.55
Over 3.5 16.3% 6.12
Under 3.5 83.7% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.3% 15.82
Under 4.5 93.7% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.0% 2.33
No 57.0% 1.75

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa / Draw 70.7% 1.42
Larisa / Panetolikos 68.7% 1.46
Draw / Panetolikos 60.6% 1.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.9
10.8
5.5
1.8
0.4
0.1
1
13.2
14.2
6.4
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
8.1
7.7
3.7
1.2
0.3
0.1
3
3.1
3.0
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.9
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Larisa goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.