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Sunday 16 September 2018, 18:15 AEL FC Arena Full time
22% 32% 46%
Home win
22.1%
Draw
31.6%
Away win
46.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa 22.1% 4.53
Draw 31.6% 3.16
Panathinaikos 46.3% 2.16

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.1% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.9% 6.72
Over 1.5 59.0% 1.69
Under 1.5 41.0% 2.44
Over 2.5 31.2% 3.20
Under 2.5 68.8% 1.45
Over 3.5 13.5% 7.38
Under 3.5 86.5% 1.16
Over 4.5 4.9% 20.42
Under 4.5 95.1% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.7% 2.65
No 62.3% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Larisa / Draw 53.7% 1.86
Larisa / Panathinaikos 68.4% 1.46
Draw / Panathinaikos 77.9% 1.28

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.9
16.3
10.3
4.2
1.3
0.3
1
9.8
13.5
7.7
3.1
0.9
0.2
2
3.9
4.8
2.9
1.2
0.4
0.1
3
1.0
1.2
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Larisa goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.