Saturday 25 August 2018, 21:30
Georgios Kamaras Stadium
Full time
48%
32%
19%
Home win
48.5%
Draw
32.2%
Away win
19.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Smirnis | 48.5% | 2.06 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.2% | 3.11 | — | — |
| Larisa | 19.3% | 5.17 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.6% | 6.01 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.5% | 8.69 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.9% | 25.45 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.1% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 33.9% | 2.95 | — | — |
| No | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Smirnis / Draw | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Apollon Smirnis / Larisa | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Larisa | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.6
|
9.5
|
3.3
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
18.2
|
13.0
|
4.0
|
0.9
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.3
|
7.3
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
4.5
|
2.9
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2021
Apollon Smirnis
0-2
Larisa
Jan 2021
Larisa
0-1
Apollon Smirnis
Oct 2020
Apollon Smirnis
1-0
Larisa
Jan 2019
Larisa
3-0
Apollon Smirnis
Apr 2018
Apollon Smirnis
3-0
Larisa
Nov 2017
Larisa
1-0
Apollon Smirnis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.