Sunday 1 April 2018, 17:15
Stadio Georgios Kamaras (Athína (Athens))
Full time
42%
34%
24%
Home win
42.3%
Draw
33.6%
Away win
24.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Smirnis | 42.3% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.6% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Larisa | 24.1% | 4.16 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 17.1% | 5.84 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 27.2% | 3.67 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.1% | 9.04 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.9% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 3.7% | 26.85 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 96.3% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.1% | 2.85 | — | — |
| No | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Smirnis / Draw | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Apollon Smirnis / Larisa | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Draw / Larisa | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
17.1
|
11.3
|
4.4
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.8
|
13.7
|
4.8
|
1.2
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
7.0
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2021
Apollon Smirnis
0-2
Larisa
Jan 2021
Larisa
0-1
Apollon Smirnis
Oct 2020
Apollon Smirnis
1-0
Larisa
Jan 2019
Larisa
3-0
Apollon Smirnis
Aug 2018
Apollon Smirnis
0-1
Larisa
Nov 2017
Larisa
1-0
Apollon Smirnis
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.