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Monday 5 March 2018, 19:30 Stadio Georgios Kamaras (Athína (Athens)) Full time
33% 33% 35%
Home win
32.8%
Draw
32.6%
Away win
34.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 32.8% 3.05
Draw 32.6% 3.07
Panetolikos 34.6% 2.89

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.5% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.5% 6.89
Over 1.5 59.9% 1.67
Under 1.5 40.1% 2.49
Over 2.5 32.0% 3.13
Under 2.5 68.0% 1.47
Over 3.5 14.1% 7.11
Under 3.5 85.9% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.2% 19.41
Under 4.5 94.8% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.5% 2.47
No 59.5% 1.68

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 65.4% 1.53
Apollon Smirnis / Panetolikos 67.4% 1.48
Draw / Panetolikos 67.2% 1.49

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.5
13.0
7.0
2.4
0.6
0.1
1
12.6
14.3
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
6.5
6.6
3.3
1.1
0.3
0.1
3
2.1
2.1
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.