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Saturday 3 February 2018, 19:30 Stadio Apóstolos Nikolaidis (Athína (Athens)) Full time
69% 21% 10%
Home win
68.6%
Draw
21.3%
Away win
10.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 68.6% 1.46
Draw 21.3% 4.70
Panetolikos 10.1% 9.85

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.6% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.4% 11.91
Over 1.5 72.7% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.3% 3.67
Over 2.5 46.8% 2.14
Under 2.5 53.2% 1.88
Over 3.5 25.2% 3.97
Under 3.5 74.8% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.5% 8.70
Under 4.5 88.5% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.5% 2.53
No 60.5% 1.65

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 89.9% 1.11
Panathinaikos / Panetolikos 78.7% 1.27
Draw / Panetolikos 31.4% 3.18

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.4
4.2
1.4
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
14.7
9.8
2.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
2
14.7
8.9
2.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
9.5
5.8
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
4.6
2.8
0.8
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.8
1.1
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Panetolikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.