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Saturday 27 January 2018, 17:15 Stadio Georgios Kamaras (Athína (Athens)) Full time
20% 30% 50%
Home win
20.1%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
50.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 20.1% 4.98
Draw 29.8% 3.36
Panathinaikos 50.1% 1.99

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.9% 1.15
Under 0.5 13.1% 7.62
Over 1.5 62.5% 1.60
Under 1.5 37.5% 2.67
Over 2.5 34.7% 2.88
Under 2.5 65.3% 1.53
Over 3.5 15.9% 6.28
Under 3.5 84.1% 1.19
Over 4.5 6.1% 16.39
Under 4.5 93.9% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.6% 2.52
No 60.4% 1.66

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 49.9% 2.01
Apollon Smirnis / Panathinaikos 70.2% 1.42
Draw / Panathinaikos 79.9% 1.25

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.1
15.9
11.1
5.0
1.7
0.4
1
8.5
13.2
8.3
3.7
1.2
0.3
2
3.5
4.6
3.1
1.4
0.5
0.1
3
0.9
1.2
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.