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Monday 8 January 2018, 19:30 Stadio Georgios Kamaras (Athína (Athens)) Full time
32% 34% 34%
Home win
32.1%
Draw
34.3%
Away win
33.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis 32.1% 3.11
Draw 34.3% 2.92
Atromitos 33.6% 2.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 83.0% 1.20
Under 0.5 17.0% 5.89
Over 1.5 55.2% 1.81
Under 1.5 44.8% 2.23
Over 2.5 27.5% 3.63
Under 2.5 72.5% 1.38
Over 3.5 11.2% 8.91
Under 3.5 88.8% 1.13
Over 4.5 3.8% 26.31
Under 4.5 96.2% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.5% 2.74
No 63.5% 1.58

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Apollon Smirnis / Draw 66.4% 1.51
Apollon Smirnis / Atromitos 65.7% 1.52
Draw / Atromitos 67.9% 1.47

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.0
14.2
6.9
2.1
0.5
0.1
1
13.7
14.2
6.2
1.9
0.4
0.1
2
6.5
6.0
2.8
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
1.9
1.8
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Apollon Smirnis goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.