Saturday 18 November 2017, 17:15
AEL FC Arena
Full time
39%
32%
29%
Home win
38.9%
Draw
31.8%
Away win
29.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larisa | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Draw | 31.8% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Apollon Smirnis | 29.3% | 3.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.3% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.7% | 7.30 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 38.5% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 33.6% | 2.97 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.2% | 6.59 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.7% | 17.51 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 41.6% | 2.41 | — | — |
| No | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larisa / Draw | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Larisa / Apollon Smirnis | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Draw / Apollon Smirnis | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.7
|
11.2
|
5.6
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.6
|
14.2
|
6.2
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.0
|
7.5
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.0
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.8
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2021
Apollon Smirnis
0-2
Larisa
Jan 2021
Larisa
0-1
Apollon Smirnis
Oct 2020
Apollon Smirnis
1-0
Larisa
Jan 2019
Larisa
3-0
Apollon Smirnis
Aug 2018
Apollon Smirnis
0-1
Larisa
Apr 2018
Apollon Smirnis
3-0
Larisa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.