Monday 16 October 2017, 19:30
Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium
Full time
78%
16%
5%
Home win
78.2%
Draw
16.3%
Away win
5.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.3% | 6.14 | — | — |
| Larisa | 5.5% | 18.33 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.2% | 13.84 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.7% | 4.04 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.3% | 3.54 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.5% | 7.41 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 32.4% | 3.08 | — | — |
| No | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos / Draw | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Panathinaikos / Larisa | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Larisa | 21.8% | 4.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.2
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
14.9
|
7.2
|
1.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
17.1
|
7.6
|
1.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.8
|
5.7
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.2
|
3.2
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.2
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Panathinaikos
1-1
Larisa
Dec 2025
Larisa
2-2
Panathinaikos
Jan 2021
Panathinaikos
2-0
Larisa
Sep 2020
Larisa
1-1
Panathinaikos
Jan 2020
Larisa
0-2
Panathinaikos
Oct 2019
Panathinaikos
1-2
Larisa
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.