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Sunday 17 September 2017, 16:00 Apostolos Nikolaidis Full time
71% 22% 7%
Home win
70.7%
Draw
21.9%
Away win
7.4%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 70.7% 1.41
Draw 21.9% 4.56
Apollon Smirnis 7.4% 13.53

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.4% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.6% 8.62
Over 1.5 65.0% 1.54
Under 1.5 35.0% 2.85
Over 2.5 37.7% 2.66
Under 2.5 62.3% 1.60
Over 3.5 18.0% 5.55
Under 3.5 82.0% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.2% 13.85
Under 4.5 92.8% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 28.7% 3.49
No 71.3% 1.40

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 92.6% 1.08
Panathinaikos / Apollon Smirnis 78.1% 1.28
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 29.3% 3.41

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.6
4.1
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
19.3
8.7
1.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
17.7
7.3
1.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
10.5
4.3
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
4.7
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.