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Saturday 24 November 2018, 16:00 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
71% 22% 7%
Home win
71.1%
Draw
21.8%
Away win
7.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 71.1% 1.41
Draw 21.8% 4.58
Apollon Smirnis 7.1% 14.06

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.2% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.8% 8.51
Over 1.5 64.6% 1.55
Under 1.5 35.4% 2.83
Over 2.5 37.3% 2.68
Under 2.5 62.7% 1.59
Over 3.5 17.7% 5.64
Under 3.5 82.3% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.1% 14.15
Under 4.5 92.9% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 27.9% 3.59
No 72.1% 1.39

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 92.9% 1.08
Panathinaikos / Apollon Smirnis 78.2% 1.28
Draw / Apollon Smirnis 28.9% 3.46

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.8
4.0
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
19.6
8.5
1.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
2
17.9
7.2
1.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
3
10.7
4.3
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
4.8
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.7
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: Apollon Smirnis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.