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Saturday 6 October 2018, 20:30 Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium Full time
36% 31% 33%
Home win
36.2%
Draw
30.8%
Away win
33.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis 36.2% 2.76
Draw 30.8% 3.24
Panathinaikos 33.0% 3.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.0% 1.14
Under 0.5 12.0% 8.31
Over 1.5 65.0% 1.54
Under 1.5 35.0% 2.86
Over 2.5 37.4% 2.68
Under 2.5 62.6% 1.60
Over 3.5 17.8% 5.61
Under 3.5 82.2% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.1% 14.06
Under 4.5 92.9% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.0% 2.22
No 55.0% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Asteras Tripolis / Draw 67.0% 1.49
Asteras Tripolis / Panathinaikos 69.2% 1.45
Draw / Panathinaikos 63.8% 1.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.0
11.1
6.3
2.2
0.6
0.1
1
11.8
14.2
7.1
2.5
0.7
0.1
2
7.1
7.6
4.0
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
2.7
2.8
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.8
0.8
0.4
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.