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Saturday 29 September 2018, 19:00 Spiros Louis Olympic Stadium Full time
65% 23% 12%
Home win
65.4%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
11.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos 65.4% 1.53
Draw 22.7% 4.40
PAS Giannina 11.9% 8.38

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.2% 1.10
Under 0.5 8.8% 11.41
Over 1.5 72.0% 1.39
Under 1.5 28.0% 3.57
Over 2.5 45.7% 2.19
Under 2.5 54.3% 1.84
Over 3.5 24.4% 4.11
Under 3.5 75.6% 1.32
Over 4.5 11.0% 9.13
Under 4.5 89.1% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.1% 2.43
No 58.9% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Panathinaikos / Draw 88.1% 1.14
Panathinaikos / PAS Giannina 77.3% 1.29
Draw / PAS Giannina 34.6% 2.89

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.8
4.8
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
1
14.5
10.5
3.2
0.7
0.1
0.0
2
14.0
9.2
3.0
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
8.6
5.6
1.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
4.0
2.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
1.5
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Panathinaikos goals. Columns: PAS Giannina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.